Fantasy Football: Top Rookie Prospects
Welcome back to the weekly EndZone Empire newsletter. Today we're going to run through some of the very best rookie fantasy football prospects.
In fantasy football, understanding rookie prospects is vital for building a strong team. In this article, we'll delve into the advanced statistics of several promising rookies and explore how they might impact your fantasy line-up in their debut NFL season.
Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are adding to an already potent offense with the addition of Quentin Johnston. This long-strider out of TCU had a knack for making big plays in college, with an impressive 19.3 yards per reception. With defenses already focused on Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, Johnston will have ample opportunities to shine. Look for Johnston to provide immediate impact as a deep threat, adding another dynamic weapon to Justin Herbert's arsenal.
Johnston is a big-play magnet. Standing at 6'4, he registered an impressive 19 yards per reception in college, while finishing his junior season with 60 receptions for 1069 yards and 6 touchdowns. Johnston's blend of size and speed could be a nightmare for defenses and an immediate boon for fantasy owners.
At his current ADP of #108, Johnston has the opportunity to far outscore his WR#47 draft position.
Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Jordan Addison arrives in Minnesota after tearing up Pac-12 defenses at USC. His separation skills and sure hands will serve him well in the Vikings offense, offering Kirk Cousins a reliable weapon who could turn into a valuable PPR asset for fantasy managers.
Adam Thielen racked up 107 targets and finished as the WR_ last season. Currently drafted as the WR41 in PPR formats, Addison has the skills to blow the doors off his projections.
Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers
Young's Heisman-winning season at Alabama included a stellar 4,322 passing yards, 43 touchdowns, and a completion percentage of 68.2%. He also added 3 rushing touchdowns, showcasing his potential as a dual-threat QB. Young's rushing upside adds an extra layer of appeal for fantasy purposes. He could be a sleeper pick for those opting to wait on drafting a quarterback.
With the Panthers' arsenal of weapons and Young's demonstrated accuracy and decision-making, he could quickly emerge as a reliable QB2 with QB1 upside in the right matchups.
Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens
Zay Flowers comes into an interesting situation with the Ravens, a team desperate for more consistency from their wide receivers. The dynamic Boston College product is explosive in open space and has proven to be a reliable route runner. In an offense that's committed to expanding its passing game, Flowers could make an immediate splash.
Given the Ravens' evolving passing game and Flowers' big-play ability (15.3 yards per reception), he has the potential to make an immediate impact in both standard and PPR leagues.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks managed to land one of the most prolific wide receivers in this year's draft class. Smith-Njigba is a versatile receiver who can win both inside and outside. He'll benefit from playing alongside DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, drawing favorable matchups and capitalizing on the single-coverage situations he'll likely face.
Smith-Njigba was a prolific receiver at Ohio State, recording a 33.7% target share and an impressive dominator rating of 38.2%. Before an injury riddle season least year, JSN put up 1,710 yards and 15 touchdowns while he averaged 13.2 yards per target in 2021. Geno Smith was one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL last season, is known for maximizing his receivers, and Smith-Njigba's reliable hands and route-running proficiency make him a strong candidate for substantial first-year production.
Expect some growing pains early on, but this Buckeye product has huge upside. At his current ADP of #89, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a fantasy steal.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions
Gibbs was a do-it-all back at Georgia Tech, showcasing his talent both on the ground and in the passing game. He posted an outstanding 1,919 scrimmage yards, with a yards per carry average of 5.3 and an impressive yards per reception of 12.4. His ability to contribute in multiple ways gives him a high ceiling in Detroit's offense, and he could easily develop into a high-value RB2 or even an RB1 in PPR formats.
Arguably one of the most exciting prospects in this year's draft, Gibbs has an immediate opportunity for a large role in Detroit's offense. With D'Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams gone, the Georgia Tech product should step into a sizable workload right away. His ability to contribute both as a runner and receiver should make him a highly sought-after commodity in fantasy drafts.
Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are hoping that Richardson can be their quarterback of the future. The Florida product is a big, athletic, dual-threat quarterback with a cannon for an arm. His fantasy value is bolstered by his running ability, which could translate into some impressive rushing totals. He'll need some time to adjust to the NFL, but Richardson's physical gifts are undeniable.
Richardson's time at Florida saw him achieve a pass completion rate of just 54% and average 9.8 yards per attempt. Furthermore, his ability to make plays with his legs (averaging 9.3 yards per carry and scoring 9 rushing touchdowns) is a highly desirable trait in fantasy football. If he can win the starting job and keep turnovers to a minimum, Richardson has the tools to become a fantasy sleeper. With his current ADP hovering around #109, Richardson is well worth a late-round draft pick.
Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Robinson is one of the most exciting prospects in the 2023 class. The Texas standout was a beast in college, showcasing an ability to create explosive plays on any touch. Now in Atlanta, he's poised to become the focal point of the Falcons' rushing attack. With his ability as a receiver out of the backfield, Robinson should be a three-down back for the Falcons, making him an enticing fantasy prospect.
Robinson was a force of nature at Texas, averaging 6.2 yards per carry and accumulating 1,580 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns in his final season. He also proved a threat in the passing game, with 19 receptions for 314 yards and a pair of scores. Robinson's three-down capability and explosiveness make him a potential RB1 in fantasy, with added value in PPR leagues thanks to his receiving skills.
These rookies bring impressive college resumes and plenty of potential to their respective NFL teams. Remember, rookie production can be volatile, but each of these players has the talent and opportunity to make a significant fantasy impact in their debut season. As always, stay tuned to Endzone Empire for the most up-to-date and in-depth fantasy analysis.